Friday, April 18, 2008

American Idol vs. American President ?
Last night, I was watching the 12th season of America's Next President, well, I have to admit I scrolled to America's next top model during commercials, until American Idol began on Fox.

Which is a better TV show? The winner is in. America voted, "American Idol, you are safe!"

I won't be surprised if this year no candidate could win the popular votes against the Idol. Bush did not in 2004. Obama had a chance, but I won't bet on it.

Maybe it is healthy to keep voters' hope low.

Friday, April 04, 2008

Scientific American: The Expert Mind

Scientific American: The Expert Mind

Highlights
- Ericsson argues that what matters is not experience per se but "effortful study," which entails continually tackling challenges that lie just beyond one's competence.
- Simon coined a psychological law of his own, the 10-year rule, which states that it takes approximately a decade of heavy labor to master any field. Even child prodigies, such as Gauss in mathematics, Mozart in music and Bobby Fischer in chess, must have made an equivalent effort, perhaps by starting earlier and working harder than others.

Saturday, March 22, 2008

Boyden, E. S. "How to Think." Ed Boyden's Blog. Technology Review. 11/13/07. (http://www.technologyreview.com/blog/boyden/21925/).

How to Think - Managing brain resources in an age of complexity

A few highlights.
Synthesize new ideas constantly.
Make contingency maps. Draw all the things you need to do on a big piece of paper, and find out which things depend on other things. Then, find the things that are not dependent on anything but have the most dependents, and finish them first.

And most importantly:
Make your mistakes quickly. You may mess things up on the first try, but do it fast, and then move on. Document what led to the error so that you learn what to recognize, and then move on. Get the mistakes out of the way. As Shakespeare put it, "Our doubts are traitors, and make us lose the good we oft might win, by fearing to attempt."

Friday, February 22, 2008

Economics Blog : Negative Feedback on Economy's Negative Feedback Loops

This is funny, what is positive, and what is negative.

Economics Blog : Negative Feedback on Economy's Negative Feedback Loops

Why WSJ cannot simply admit that they have made a mistake? They have to cite others' mistakes to prove that they are correct?

The Stimulus Strategy: Financial Page: The New Yorker

In the Latest issue of the New Yorker, James Surowiecki cited Charles Perrow's Normal Accident.” to explain the bond market turmoil.

It is interesting to see that a journalist cited an investigation of engineering systems by a sociologist to explain the financial market. Well, if we check the number of former engineers and sociologists working on the Street, it might not be surprising.

Monday, February 11, 2008

Seven Rules for Reporting Polls and Research Results

A nice post at STATS.

My favorite is the 7th.

Thinking is hard. That explains a lot, not only stats, or news.

Monday, February 04, 2008

What is the difference between super Tuesday and Super-bowl?
Not much, I think. Once a scientist pointed out we do not have a President trained in science and tech yet, but we have presidents from showbiz. To the reporters / journalists, what is difference in reporting super-bowl and super Tuesday. All we need is a close match and excited fans. If there is none, we will create it, at least make it appear so.